my colleague Kenneth West did a protracted interview about inflation, rates of interest and recession Central Time of Wisconsin Public Radio on Monday [audio]
To place it one other method, search for the outlook for employment, unemployment and job vacancies… and for inflation, search for core inflation charges.
Figures 1: Unemployment price, % (blue, left scale), annualized quarter-on-quarter core CPI inflation (black, proper scale), PPI completed items minus meals and power (inexperienced, proper scale), core PCE deflator (purple, proper scale) , all in %. Supply: BLS by way of FRED, BEA by way of FRED and personal calculations.
For the whole interview (about 20 minutes), go right here.
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